Model Accuracy
Transparent tracking of our prediction model's historical performance. We believe in showing you exactly how accurate our predictions have been.
Important: Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Our predictions are for entertainment purposes only. Full disclaimer
153
Matches Analyzed
Bundesliga 2024/25
68%
Historical Accuracy
Predictions that matched outcomes
89
Predictions Made
High-confidence predictions
Our Methodology
How We Generate Predictions
- Analyze historical match data and team statistics
- Calculate probability scores based on multiple factors
- Only publish high-confidence predictions (70%+ threshold)
- Track all predictions for transparent accuracy reporting
How We Measure Accuracy
- Prediction is "correct" if outcome matches our prediction
- All predictions are logged before match starts
- Historical data verified using official API sources
- Results published regardless of outcome
Accuracy by Confidence Level
Our model assigns a confidence score to each prediction. Higher confidence scores have historically shown better accuracy.
Understanding Our Accuracy
A 68% accuracy rate means that approximately 2 out of every 3 predictions we make match the actual outcome. This is based on historical data from verified match results.
Important context: Football is inherently unpredictable. Even our high-confidence predictions will be wrong sometimes. Our accuracy rate is calculated across all predictions, including periods of both good and poor performance.
We publish these statistics to be transparent about our model's capabilities and limitations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Data Sources
Real-time match data from API-Football, including scores, statistics, and historical results.
Comprehensive team and player statistics aggregated from official league sources.